Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#123
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#122
Pace68.7#152
Improvement+2.9#64

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#74
Improvement+1.8#86

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#205
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 98   @ UC Irvine W 98-97 OT 34%     1 - 0 +8.5 +17.0 -8.7
  Nov 12, 2013 17   @ Pittsburgh L 54-75 10%     1 - 1 -3.8 -10.3 +6.3
  Nov 16, 2013 213   Cal St. Northridge W 80-64 80%     2 - 1 +10.3 +1.9 +8.5
  Nov 20, 2013 178   Cal Poly W 63-46 74%     3 - 1 +13.3 -3.9 +19.1
  Nov 23, 2013 153   @ Pacific L 77-86 47%     3 - 2 -5.2 -0.9 -3.8
  Nov 29, 2013 176   Drake L 74-84 74%     3 - 3 -13.7 -0.4 -13.5
  Nov 30, 2013 223   Cal St. Bakersfield W 96-86 OT 81%     4 - 3 +3.8 +8.8 -6.3
  Dec 01, 2013 256   Northern Arizona W 71-67 OT 85%     5 - 3 -3.9 -1.9 -1.7
  Dec 07, 2013 33   @ Utah L 77-90 14%     5 - 4 +1.5 +14.6 -13.6
  Dec 14, 2013 62   @ California L 56-67 22%     5 - 5 +0.2 -12.1 +12.4
  Dec 21, 2013 3   Florida L 49-66 8%     5 - 6 +1.3 -6.3 +5.2
  Jan 01, 2014 77   UNLV L 62-75 47%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -9.1 -13.0 +5.0
  Jan 04, 2014 68   @ Boise St. L 79-86 25%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +3.1 +8.3 -5.3
  Jan 08, 2014 225   Air Force W 71-65 81%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -0.4 +1.3 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2014 132   @ Colorado St. L 57-76 42%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -13.8 -8.5 -7.7
  Jan 15, 2014 29   @ San Diego St. L 60-68 13%     6 - 10 1 - 4 +7.5 +2.8 +4.2
  Jan 18, 2014 31   New Mexico L 78-89 28%     6 - 11 1 - 5 -1.9 +5.1 -6.4
  Jan 22, 2014 139   Nevada L 86-96 2OT 65%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -10.9 -3.3 -5.8
  Jan 25, 2014 77   @ UNLV L 73-75 OT 27%     6 - 13 1 - 7 +7.5 +8.3 -0.9
  Jan 29, 2014 109   Wyoming W 67-62 57%     7 - 13 2 - 7 +6.2 +11.6 -4.3
  Feb 05, 2014 225   @ Air Force W 68-51 65%     8 - 13 3 - 7 +16.2 +0.5 +16.8
  Feb 08, 2014 284   San Jose St. W 82-56 89%     9 - 13 4 - 7 +15.8 +13.8 +3.8
  Feb 12, 2014 139   @ Nevada W 75-67 44%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +12.7 +9.2 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2014 132   Colorado St. W 75-66 63%     11 - 13 6 - 7 +8.6 +4.0 +5.2
  Feb 18, 2014 109   @ Wyoming L 66-72 36%     11 - 14 6 - 8 +0.7 +0.2 +0.4
  Feb 22, 2014 118   @ Utah St. W 79-76 38%     12 - 14 7 - 8 +9.2 +11.5 -2.1
  Feb 26, 2014 68   Boise St. W 76-56 44%     13 - 14 8 - 8 +24.5 +12.2 +15.1
  Mar 01, 2014 29   San Diego St. L 67-82 25%     13 - 15 8 - 9 -5.0 +12.7 -19.8
  Mar 08, 2014 284   @ San Jose St. W 69-56 77%     14 - 15 9 - 9 +8.4 +1.3 +7.7
  Mar 12, 2014 225   Air Force W 61-59 74%     15 - 15 -1.6 -7.0 +5.5
  Mar 13, 2014 31   New Mexico L 77-93 20%     15 - 16 -4.1 +3.5 -6.4
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%